Mack Attack: July 23, 2008

By John Mackin Ade
Posted Wednesday, July 23, 2008

Y O U C A N N O T H A V E T O O M U C H R E L I E F P I T C H I N G

Pennant: Phillies: 46 losses - Mets: 47 – Marlins: 47 - Braves: 53

Wild Card: Milw: 43 losses - St. Louis: 45 - Mets: 47 - Marlins: 47

InsideEdge/ESPN ‘report card’ on:

John Maine Throws: R Total Outings: 20 Total Pitches: 2072

Category…. Grade Key Stat selected outing(s)…… MLB Avg……….. Grade

Working Ahead in Count C+ 1st pitch strike % 57 % 58 % B-
1 of first 2 pitches for strike % 83 % 85 % C
2 of first 3 pitches for strikes % 59 % 60 % C+
% of 0-1 counts that become 0-2 counts 51 % 47 % B
% of 1-1 counts that become 1-2 counts 55 % 53 % B-
Command C+ Strike % of fastballs 64 % 64 % B-
Strike % of offspeed pitches 58 % 61 % C
Finish Off Hitters C+ 2 strike at bats becoming outs 71 % 72 % C+
Offspeed Effectiveness B- Well hit average vs. offspeed strikes * .074 .076 B
% of offspeed pitch chased 30 % 31 % C+
Overall Effectiveness B+ Well-hit average (of AB's) * .208 .267 A
Well-hit average (of strikes) * .069 .102 A+
On-base average against the pitcher * .326 .338 B
% of batters faced who score * 12 % 12 % B-
Dominance B % of outs that are K's in 4 pitches or less 10 % 11 % C+
123 innings % of complete innings pitched 38 % 31 % A-
Swing and miss % of strikes 16 % 14 % B
Efficiency D % of PA's that go to 3 ball counts * 22 % 19 % F
1st batter of inning out % 69 % 68 % B-
3 or less pitch PA's 37 % 47 % D-
4 or less pitch PA's 58 % 65 % D
Battle Tendency B- % of runners who score * 31 % 36 % A-
% of 2-0, 2-1, & 3 ball counts ending in outs 49 % 54 % C-

Overall Grade B-

TopProspect.com updated Mets prospect ranking:

#1 Fernando Martinez -- Preseason Rank: 1
(AA) 51G .298, 12(2B), 2(3B), 4HR, 21RBI, 11BB, 48K, 4SB
(Rk) 4G .462, 1(2B), 1(3B), 2K

#2 Ike Davis -- Preseason Rank: NR
(Short-A) 13G .281, 6(2B), 8RBI, 12K

#3 Reese Havens -- Preseason Rank: NR
(Short-A) 9G .270, 3(2B), 2HR, 5RBI, 6BB, 10K, 1SB

#4 Jonathon Niese -- Preseason Rank: 3
(AA) 5-7, 3.30ERA, 103.2IP, 38BB, 92K, .252BAA

#5 Nick Evans -- Preseason Rank: NR
(MLB) 10G .185, 3(2B), 2RBI, 1BB, 9K
(AA) 75G .311, 18(2B), 7HR, 53RBI, 26BB, 64K, 2SB

#6 Wilmer Flores -- Preseason Rank: 8
(Rk) 21G .337, 4(2B), 2(3B), 5HR, 19RBI, 2BB, 10K, 1SB

#7 Eddie Kunz -- Preseason Rank: 2
(AA) 1-4, 24SV, 3.32ERA, 40.2IP, 23BB, 35K, .247BAA

#8 Ruben Tejada -- Preseason Rank: NR
(High-A) 89G .246, 14(2B), 3(3B), 2HR, 29RBI, 30BB, 49K, 5SB

#9 Dan Murphy -- Preseason Rank: NR
(AA) 75G .311, 17(2B), 1(3B), 10HR, 54RBI, 27BB, 38K, 10SB
(Short-A) 3G .500, 2RBI, 2K

#10 Mike Carp -- Preseason Rank: 7
(AA) 86G .311, 17(2B), 10HR, 48RBI, 40BB, 56K

OFF LIST:

Brant Rustich -- Preseason Rank: 4
(Low-A) 1-4, 5.34ERA, 28.2IP, 13BB, 23K, .273BAA

Nathan Vineyard -- Preseason Rank: 5
(Low-A) 0-2, 14.63ERA, 8IP, 6BB, 3K, .382BAA

Scott Moviel -- Preseason Rank: 6
(Low-A) 8-7, 4.55ERA, 91IP, 27BB, 62K, .271BAA

Lucas Duda -- Preseason Rank: 9
(High-A) 89G .263m 19(2B), 2(3B), 5HR, 46RBI, 43BB, 89K, 1SB

Dylan Owen -- Preseason Rank: 10
(High-A) 7-6, 3.83ERA, 96.1IP, 21BB, 88K, .274BAA

-Rotoworld’s mid-season adjusted Top 150 Prospect List:

11. Fernando Martinez - With a .328 average in 119 at-bats since the beginning of May, it seems like Martinez is starting to get a handle on Double-A pitching. He got off to another slow start in April, and 32 of his 53 strikeouts came in the first month of the season. He's made adjustments versus breaking balls since, and he's collecting a lot of singles as a result. His power stroke isn't there yet at age 19, and it's likely similar adjustment periods are in store when he's promoted to Triple-A and later the majors. However, he remains an elite prospect with All-Star upside. He should possess the power to his 30 homers per year, and he projects as an above average defender in right field.

98. Jon Niese - ETA: June 2009

105. Ruben Tejada - ETA: 2013

138. Mike Carp - ETA: Aug. 2009

Zephyrs:

B-Mets:

-Dan Murphy played 1B in the 1st game of a doubleheader Tuesday night...

Jonathan Malo and Jose Coronado each had three hits for the Binghamton Mets, helping them win Game 2 of their doubleheader over the Erie SeaWolves 11-4 at Jerry Uht Park Tuesday. Erie won the opener 8-2.

In the nightcap, the B-Mets (54-49) got on the board in the first, thanks to three straight hits off Juan Cedeño. Coronado started the attack with a double before Daniel Murphy and Ambiorix Concepcion singled, the latter scoring Coronado.

Binghamton upped the lead to 3-0 in the second. Malo reached on a infield single and, two batters later, scored on Salvador Paniagua’s double off the leftfield wall. Paniagua came in on Coronado’s second double of the game.

Erie (43-61) rallied to tie against Jose Sanchez. Jeff Kunkel and Will Rhymes each singled in a run in the second before Ryan Roberson’s third-inning solo shot knotted the score 3-3.

Malo led off the B-Mets’ half of the fourth with a double before scoring on Fernando Martinez’s two-out single to center, putting Binghamton ahead for good. Coronado followed with a single before Murphy’s base hit plated Martinez. Cedeño (3-2) walked Concepcion to load the bases before hitting Mike Carp with a pitch. That forced in Coronado and put the B-Mets ahead 6-3.

Binghamton put the game away in the sixth. Malo hit a bases-loaded, two-run double before Garcia cranked a three-run homer to rightfield.

Kunkel’s RBI groundout off Sanchez (9-5) in the sixth capped the scoring.

In the opener, Erie scored four times off Bobby Parnell (9-5) in the first, with Pedro Cotto driving in two with a double. After Concepcion doubled off Josh Rainwater (7-4) and was singled in by Garcia in the second to cut Erie’s lead to 4-1, the SeaWolves put the game away with three in the third. Casper Wells singled in one before a Rhymes single plated two more for a 7-1 Erie lead.

Carp singled and scored on a pair of errors in the fourth before Roberson’s solo homer in the bottom of the frame concluded the scoring.

Lucy:

a 2-run homer in the 8th by OF Victor Mendez (3-4, .299) capped a 4-3 victory over Fort Meyers...

SP Dylan Owen pitched another so-so game (7.0 IP, 3.73 3ER)... frankly, if Owen is a prospect, he should be dominatin at this point in the season...

20-year old IB/C/OF/DH Josh Thole just keeps doing it... 2-for-3... .304

Gnats:

the game was postponed Tuesday night due to rain... there will be a doubleheader on Wednesday, starting at 9:30am...

Clones:

Poor pitching by both Jeffrey Kaplan (2.0 IP, 3 ER, 3.86) and Tim Stronach (5.0 IP, 3 ER, 2.73)...

High draft picks Ike Davis (.243) and Sean Ratliff (.200) a combined 0-7...

6-1 loss

K-Port:

K-Port beat Bristol, 3-0, in a rain shortened 6 inning game...

Guilly Leduc went the distance... 4 Ks... 3.82

Wilmer Flores (1-3, .345) finally back in the lineup...

big night for the French Canadians... Jean Luc Blaquiere went 2-3 (.192) with a homer...

GCL Mets:

The GCL Mets lost the first ame of their doubleheader Tuesday night, 8-7, in 7 innings...

Inadequate pitching throught the game by Michael Olmstead, Kyle Alen, and Jonathan Sanchez...

only multi-hit perfomance was by Ruben Martinez (.217), who went 2-4

VSL Mets:

-a name to keep an eye on… someone named Rafael Castro pitched 4.1 innings of runless ball, striking out 8 hitters… that gives him 23 Ks in 18.0 IP and the seasonal opponent batting average is .182… oh… did I tell you he’s 16 years old?

the VSL Mets lost to the Pirates, 5-1, on Wednesday... SP Jhonathan Torres (6 IP, 1 ER, 2.96) pitched well... and 3B Ray Van Gurp (.267) went 2-4...

Ex-Mets:

From BA: Looking back at our Top 100 Prospects list entering the season, here are the five highest-ranked players whose stock has taken a hit this year:

Deolis Guerra, rhp, Twins (No. 35). He and Carlos Gomez were the key components of the package the Mets sent to the Twins for Johan Santana. Guerra is still young as a 19-year-old in high Class A, but he has shown his youth while battling his mechanics and command all season long. His stuff has been down, too, as he has sat in the high 80s with his fastball and his changeup also has slipped a notch.